Fidelity analyst: Bitcoin price up-down debate 'mostly noise,' watch network's Apple-esque growth
Bitcoin (BTC) continued its decline further into the week as BTC clung to the $40,000 support level on Feb. 18.
While many analysts anticipated BTC's price to fall towards $30,000 next, mostly based on technicals, Jurrien Timmer of Fidelity Investments lambasted the downside bias, calling it "mostly noise."
Bitcoin has been in a choppy trading range for almost a year now, bouncing between 30k and 65k. The up-or-down debate continues to be a favorite hobby for many, but it’s mostly noise. For Bitcoin, the network is what matters. Let's dig deeper. pic.twitter.com/ipWumuRSya
The director of Global Macro published a series of tweets late Thursday, focusing on Bitcoin's network growth since its inception as a decentralized medium of exchange. In doing so, he compared the cryptocurrency's network effect with that of Apple, a trillion-dollar tech giant.
"Apple's price has grown 1457x since 1996, while its price-to-sales ratio has grown 30 times," wrote Timmer, adding:
Applying the same metrics on the Bitcoin network returned impressive growth.
For instance, Fidelity found that Bitcoin's price had surged 640,633x from inception until the end of 2021. While its price-to-network ratio, a supposed equivalent of the price-to-sales ratio, came out to be 52, up almost 867 times in the same period.
"If we apply Metcalfe's Law and calculate the square of 867, we get 751,111, noted Timmer, highlighting that it is "roughly in line with the 640,633x realized price gain."
The stark similarities in the rise of Bitcoin and Apple networks — based on their price and price-to-sales/network ratios — prompted Timmer to hint at long-term growth in the Bitcoin market.
Additionally, the veteran analyst pitted demand curves of mobile phone subscriptions
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