Ethereum crashed by 94% in 2018 — will history repeat with ETH price bottoming at $375?
Ethereum's native token Ether (ETH) is showing signs of bottoming out as ETH price bounced off a key support zone. Notably, ETH price is now holding above the key support level of the 200-week simple moving average (SMA) near $1,196.
The 200-week SMA support seems purely psychological, partly due to its ability to serve as bottom levels in the previous Bitcoin bear markets.
Independent market analyst "Bluntz" argues that the curvy level would also serve as a strong price floor for Ether where accumulation is likely.
He notes:
Currently, ETH/USD is almost 75% below its record high, seven months after hitting around $4,950.
This massive correction has made the Ethereum token an "oversold" asset, per its below-30 relative strength (RSI) readings, another technical indicator showing that ETH is a "buy."
The last time Ether turned oversold was in November 2018, which preceded the end of a 12-month long bear cycle that saw ETH losing 94% of its value.
Unfortunately, the same bearish exhaustion cannot be promised in 2022 as Ether continues facing some serious macro headwinds.
Ether's attempt to find a concrete bottom appears against the backdrop of a selling frenzy happening across the crypto and traditional financial markets.
At the core of its 75% price correction is a hawkish Federal Reserve with its possibility of raising interest rates by 175 basis points by September's end, according to interest rate swaps linked to FOMC policy outcome dates.
In other words, riskier assets would suffer as lending costs rise. This could hurt Ether's recovery prospects despite it holding above a so-called "strong" support level.
1-2 months as the Ethereum merge would be implemented between August and October. And traders will front-run it. It
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