Bitcoin metrics ‘improve bullish odds’ as BTC price holds 200-week trendline
Bitcoin (BTC) continues to hold key support which new analysis says “improves bullish probabilities.”
In an X (formerly Twitter) thread on Oct. 17, Caleb Franzen, senior analyst at Cubic Analytics, drew attention to two moving averages now forming the BTC price battleground.
Bitcoin is wedged between the 200-week simple moving average (SMA) and 200-week exponential moving average (EMA), data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows.
At $28,277 and $25,744 respectively, as of Oct. 18, the two trendlines have formed support and resistance since mid-August.
For Franzen, this is an important feature to note on weekly timeframes and constitutes one of several encouraging characteristics of the BTC/USD chart.
“One of the reasons why I’ve stayed patient with $BTC, even though I’ve leaned defensive, is that price has been trying to use the 200-week moving average cloud as support,” part of one post read.
It added that bulls successfully holding the 200-week EMA was a “great sign.”
Franzen additionally cited the short-term holder realized price (STHRP) — the aggregate on-chain price at which coins owned by younger investors last moved.
Currently around $26,900, much attention has been given to the metric in 2023 thanks to its ability to act as market support.
“Price is breaking above the STHRP, which is a key characteristic of an uptrend & it has a history of acting as dynamic support,” the thread continued, alongside data from on-chain analytics resource ChainExposed.
Franzen was quick to note that despite the signals, there was no suggestion that BTC price action would make bull market-style gains as a result.
“On the aggregate, these indicators show us that constructive dynamics are taking place and improving bullish
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