Disclaimer: The findings of the following analysis are the sole opinions of the writer and should not be considered investment advice.
MATIC’s recent streak of bearish engulfing candlesticks has substantially impaired buying efforts as the alt jumped below its three-month trendline resistance.
While the current structure tilted in favor of sellers, there are a few caveats to be wary of. The current selling pull outside the bearish pennant could lead MATIC into an undesired spiral of losses in the near term. At the very least, it has delayed the bullish comeback opportunities.
At press time, MATIC traded at $0.599, down by 4.65% in the last 24 hours.
Source: TradingView, MATIC/USDT
From a rationally conservative lens, the recent fall below the three-month trendline (yellow, dashed) could aggravate the selling vigor. Furthermore, this fall chalked out a bearish pennant on the Daily and on shorter timeframes.
After hovering at the Point of Control (POC, red) level for over a week, the 23.6% Fibonacci resistance rejected higher prices. Thus, MATIC witnessed a down breakout from its bearish pennant.
Should the current candlestick close below the $0.59, the alt would lose its 13-month support only to confirm a further downside. In this case, potential shorting targets will rest in the $0.427-$0.5 range. The declining trading volumes during the pennant oscillation have further fueled the probability of an extended downfall.
Having said that, an analysis of the distance between 20 EMA (red) and the 200 EMA (green) suggested a revival could be due. The last time these EMAs saw such a gap was in May last year. Should the sellers dwindle, MATIC could see a compression phase in the $0.5-zone.
Source: TradingView, MATIC/USDT
The RSI saw a
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