Arthur Hayes predicts a potential downturn in the Bitcoin market around the April 20 halving event, challenging the usual bullish sentiment.
This Bitcoin price prediction reflects his analysis of market consensus, economic factors, and the impact of U.S. dollar liquidity on crypto assets.
Arthur Hayes, the BitMEX co-founder, foresees a challenging market for cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin, until May, predicting a downturn around the BTC halving due on April 20.
Despite the common belief in the halving’s bullish impact—historically associated with significant price rallies—Hayes anticipates a market dip, given the consensus around the event’s positive effect.
As of today, Bitcoin (BTC/USD) price has declined to $69,115, marking a significant drop of around 4%. The asset has breached the support of the upward channel around the $69,875 level, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment.
Technical analysis reveals immediate resistance levels at $71,425, $72,740, and $73,775, with the pivot point at $69,875 acting as a crucial juncture. On the downside, Bitcoin faces immediate support at $67,525, with further cushions at $66,034 and $64,641.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) at 33 suggests a bearish momentum, while the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $69,725 aligns closely with the pivot, underscoring the market’s current uncertainty.
In conclusion, Bitcoin exhibits a bearish trend below $69,875, with potential for recovery if it surpasses this critical resistance level.
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